Forecastic

Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?

If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 8% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $106K. Market closes January 1, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?

8%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$29K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Obergefell v. Hodges will be considered “overturned” if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Constitution of the United States does not guarantee the right to marriage to same-sex couples.

Forecastic Analysis

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