Forecastic

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 75% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $895K. 24-hour volume: $93K. Market closes November 4, 2026.

politicsPolymarketCloses Nov 4

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

75%
Yes
YES75¢
NO26¢
24h vol$93K
Liquidity$256K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Forecastic Analysis

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