Forecastic

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

If Gavin Newsom (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $48K. Market closes November 7, 2028.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 7

Will Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

3%
Yes
YES4¢
NO99¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$27K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Gavin Newsom (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.