State of the economy at the end of 2026?
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 68% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $51K. Market closes January 13, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Jan 13
State of the economy at the end of 2026?
68%
Overheating
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$32K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
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