Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?
If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.7 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 98% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $53K. 24-hour volume: $25. Market closes March 31, 2027.
Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?
Resolution Rules
If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.7 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.
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