Forecastic

Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 21% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $2.9M. 24-hour volume: $791. Market closes January 21, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 21

Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?

21%
Yes
YES21¢
NO80¢
24h vol$791
Open interest$343K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

Forecastic Analysis

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