Will Republican win the House race for NY-4?
If the House member sworn in for NY-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 9% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $54K. 24-hour volume: $10. Market closes November 3, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for NY-4?
9%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$10
Open interest$36K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the House member sworn in for NY-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
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